PGS Publication: PGP000712

Publication Information (EuropePMC)
Title Meta-analysis of genome-wide associations and polygenic risk prediction for atrial fibrillation in more than 180,000 cases.
PubMed ID 40050429(Europe PMC)
doi 10.1038/s41588-024-02072-3
Publication Date March 6, 2025
Journal Nat Genet
Author(s) Roselli C, Surakka I, Olesen MS, Sveinbjornsson G, Marston NA, Choi SH, Holm H, Chaffin M, Gudbjartsson D, Hill MC, Aegisdottir H, Albert CM, Alonso A, Anderson CD, Arking DE, Arnar DO, Barnard J, Benjamin EJ, Braunwald E, Brumpton B, Campbell A, Chami N, Chasman DI, Cho K, Choi EK, Christophersen IE, Chung MK, Conen D, Crijns HJ, Cutler MJ, Czuba T, Damrauer SM, Dichgans M, Dörr M, Dudink E, Duong T, Erikstrup C, Esko T, Fatkin D, Faul JD, Ferreira M, Freitag DF, Ganesh SK, Gaziano JM, Geelhoed B, Ghouse J, Gieger C, Giulianini F, Graham SE, Gudnason V, Guo X, Haggerty C, Hayward C, Heckbert SR, Hveem K, Ito K, Johnson R, Jukema JW, Jurgens SJ, Kääb S, Kane JP, Kany S, Kardia SLR, Kavousi M, Khurshid S, Kamanu FK, Kirchhof P, Kleber ME, Knight S, Komuro I, Krieger JE, Launer LJ, Li D, Lin H, Lin HJ, Loos RJF, Lotta L, Lubitz SA, Lunetta KL, Macfarlane PW, Magnusson PKE, Malik R, Mantineo H, Marcus GM, März W, McManus DD, Melander O, Melloni GEM, Meyre PB, Miyazawa K, Mohanty S, Monfort LM, Müller-Nurasyid M, Nafissi NA, Natale A, Nazarian S, Ostrowski SR, Pak HN, Pang S, Pedersen OB, Pedersen NL, Pereira AC, Pirruccello JP, Preuss M, Psaty BM, Pullinger CR, Rader DJ, Rämö JT, Ridker PM, Rienstra M, Risch L, Roden DM, Rotter JI, Sabatine MS, Schunkert H, Shah SH, Shim J, Shoemaker MB, Simonson B, Sinner MF, Smit RAJ, Smith JA, Smith NL, Smith JG, Soliman EZ, Sørensen E, Sotoodehnia N, Strbian D, Stricker BH, Teder-Laving M, Sun YV, Thériault S, Thorolfsdottir RB, Thorsteinsdottir U, Tveit A, van der Harst P, van Meurs J, Wang B, Weiss S, Wells QS, Weng LC, Wilson PW, Xiao L, Yang PS, Yao J, Yoneda ZT, Zeller T, Zeng L, Zhao W, Zhou X, Zöllner S, BioBank Japan Project, Regeneron Genetics Center, DBDS Genomic Consortium, Ruff CT, Bundgaard H, Willer C, Stefansson K, Ellinor PT.
Released in PGS Catalog: March 17, 2025

Associated Polygenic Score(s)

Filter PGS by Participant Ancestry
Individuals included in:
G - Source of Variant Associations (GWAS)
D - Score Development/Training
E - PGS Evaluation
List of ancestries includes:
Display options:
Ancestry legend
Multi-ancestry (including European)
Multi-ancestry (excluding European)
African
East Asian
South Asian
Additional Asian Ancestries
European
Greater Middle Eastern
Hispanic or Latin American
Additional Diverse Ancestries
Not Reported

PGS Developed By This Publication

Polygenic Score ID & Name PGS Publication ID (PGP) Reported Trait Mapped Trait(s) (Ontology) Number of Variants Ancestry distribution
GWAS
Dev
Eval
Scoring File (FTP Link)
PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Atrial fibrillation atrial fibrillation 382,963
-
https://ftp.ebi.ac.uk/pub/databases/spot/pgs/scores/PGS005168/ScoringFiles/PGS005168.txt.gz

Performance Metrics

Disclaimer: The performance metrics are displayed as reported by the source studies. It is important to note that metrics are not necessarily comparable with each other. For example, metrics depend on the sample characteristics (described by the PGS Catalog Sample Set [PSS] ID), phenotyping, and statistical modelling. Please refer to the source publication for additional guidance on performance.

PGS Performance
Metric ID (PPM)
Evaluated Score PGS Sample Set ID
(PSS)
Performance Source Trait PGS Effect Sizes
(per SD change)
Classification Metrics Other Metrics Covariates Included in the Model PGS Performance:
Other Relevant Information
PPM022406 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011945|
European Ancestry|
52,757 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Atrial fibrillation HR: 1.6663
β: 0.5106 (0.0206)
C-index: 0.8718 [0.8657, 0.878] age, age^2, sex, geno_array, CHARGE-AF
PPM022407 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Atrial fibrillation HR: 1.6005
β: 0.4703 (0.0096)
C-index: 0.7895 [0.7855, 0.7936] age, age^2, sex, geno_array, CHARGE-AF
PPM022408 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Heart Failure β: 0.173 (0.0094) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022409 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Dilated cardiomyopathy β: 0.2 (0.0349) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022410 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Atrial fibrillation or flutter β: 0.5568 (0.0068) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022411 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Supraventricular arrhythmia β: 0.3159 (0.0152) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022412 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Ventricular arrhythmia β: 0.112 (0.015) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022413 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Ventricular arrhythmia Sudden cardiac death β: 0.0748 (0.0214) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022414 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Bradyarrhythmia β: 0.0937 (0.0084) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022415 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Bradyarrhythmia AV block or distal conduction disease β: 0.0628 (0.0099) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022416 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Bradyarrhythmia Pacemaker β: 0.1296 (0.0116) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022417 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Aortic valve disease β: 0.0619 (0.0123) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022418 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Mitral valve disease β: 0.1804 (0.0113) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022419 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Tricuspid valve disease β: 0.2134 (0.0155) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022420 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Peripheral vascular disease β: 0.0608 (0.0122) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022421 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Venous thromboembolism β: 0.0395 (0.008) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022422 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Ischemic stroke β: 0.1436 (0.0147) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022423 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Stroke β: 0.0901 (0.0101) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022424 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Coronary Artery Disease β: 0.0373 (0.0069) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022425 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Myocardial Infarction β: 0.0449 (0.0083) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022427 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Hypertension β: 0.0474 (0.0035) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022428 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Diabetes Type 2 β: 0.0278 (0.0062) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022429 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Hyperthyroidism β: 0.0746 (0.0137) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022430 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Hypothyroidism β: 0.0341 (0.0063) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022431 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Gout β: 0.0457 (0.0103) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022432 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Asthma β: 0.0172 (0.0046) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022433 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Diverticular disease β: 0.0286 (0.0051) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022434 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Chronic kidney disease β: 0.0701 (0.009) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022435 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Osteoarthritis β: 0.02 (0.004) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022436 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Sleep apnea β: 0.0579 (0.0116) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022437 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Pneumonia β: 0.0447 (0.0067) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022438 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Height β: 0.2656 (0.0101) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022440 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Body mass index β: 0.0928 (0.0076) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022426 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Hypercholesterolemia β: 0.0302 (0.0041) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022439 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Weight β: 0.5037 (0.0225) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022441 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Diastolic blood pressure β: 0.0823 (0.016) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022442 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: High density lipoprotein β: -0.0041 (0.0006) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022443 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Low density lipoprotein β: -0.0103 (0.0014) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022444 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Triglycerides β: -0.0064 (0.0016) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022445 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: P-wave duration β: -0.4988 (0.0918) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022446 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: QRS-duration β: -0.3295 (0.0736) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022447 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Left ventricular end-diastolic volume β: 0.5077 (0.1366) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022448 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Left ventricular end-systolic volume β: 0.4055 (0.0814) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022449 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Left ventricular ejection fraction β: -0.0016 (0.0003) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5
PPM022450 PGS005168
(PRSAF)
PSS011946|
European Ancestry|
246,683 individuals
PGP000712 |
Roselli C et al. Nat Genet (2025)
Reported Trait: Descending Aorta Diameter β: 0.0046 (0.001) age, sex, genotyping array, PCs 1-5

Evaluated Samples

PGS Sample Set ID
(PSS)
Phenotype Definitions and Methods Participant Follow-up Time Sample Numbers Age of Study Participants Sample Ancestry Additional Ancestry Description Cohort(s) Additional Sample/Cohort Information
PSS011945
[
  • 2,474 cases
  • , 50,283 controls
]
European HUNT
PSS011946
[
  • 10,416 cases
  • , 236,267 controls
]
European UKB